Gold Hourly Analysis — 09 Nov 2026, 19:00 PKT
Gold (XAU/USD) hourly report for 09 Nov 2026, 19:00 PKT. Spot $4,121.50 (Finnhub/OANDA, MID).
- Spot timestamp
- Source
- Finnhub/OANDA (MID)
- Data age
- 19 hours 9 minutes
- Status
- Unavailable
Latest verified data is shown above. Data is currently delayed — no current value has been fabricated.
Last completed 1-hour candle
| Open | High | Low | Close | Provider (basis) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| $4,108.23 | $4,124.24 | $4,106.07 | $4,121.79 | Dukascopy (BID) |
RSI(14) 1H: 60.82 (Neutral). RSI(14) 4H: 58.70 (Neutral).
Position vs pivots
Spot above R1, below R2. First verified 1H close above R1 (4121.787) after six consecutive closes below it; the 18:00–19:00 candle was unavailable (Dukascopy feed lag).
Daily pivots in force at the time (from 2026-11-09 OHLC, Finnhub/OANDA): Pivot $4,114.60, R1 $4,174.80, S1 $4,080.48.
Allocation outlook at this report
Evidence score E = +4 — Mildly Bullish (previous run: Mildly Bullish).
Evidence-score components
| Component | Score |
|---|---|
| 1H momentum | +1 |
| 1H level persistence | 0 |
| 4H structure | 0 |
| RSI(14) 1H | +1 |
| RSI(14) 4H | +1 |
| Daily RSI(14) | -1 |
| Spot vs daily EMA20 | +1 |
| Spot vs daily Pivot | +1 |
| Total E | +4 |
Conviction
| Conviction | Central | Range | Previous (old logic) | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bullish | 30% | 25–35% | 5% | +25pp |
| Bearish | 25% | 20–30% | 40% | -15pp |
| Neutral | 45% | 40–50% | 55% | -10pp |
Recommended allocation band — status: PENDING CONFIRMATION
| Line | Adopted | Recommended band | Previous (old logic) | Change |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Physical — Hold | 45% | 50–60% | 45% | 0pp |
| Physical — Sell | 55% | 40–50% | 55% | 0pp |
| Cash — Keep cash | 85% | 60–70% | 85% | 0pp |
| Cash — Buy | 15% | 30–40% | 15% | 0pp |
Why this conviction: First verified 1H close above R1 (4121.787, +$13.28) after six closes below it, with RSI 1H up to 60.82 and RSI 4H 58.70. The 4H close is still below R1 by $0.28 and the latest 18:00–19:00 candle is unavailable, so the score stays Mildly Bullish rather than Bullish.
Why this allocation: The Mildly Bullish band is recommended but not yet adopted: this is the first engine evaluation and the regime needs a second consecutive run to confirm. The adopted recommendation stays at the previous (old-logic) values, and gold’s 1H components are stale, so the data-quality guard blocks adoption this run.